Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.342637 0.447017 0.560769 0.692165 0.838161 0.994010 1.171635
2025-10-05 0.220267 0.362771 0.534569 0.748347 1.000138 1.281508 1.614489
2025-10-12 0.155644 0.312362 0.516625 0.783870 1.110046 1.484113 1.935788
2025-10-19 0.119807 0.288814 0.524290 0.844496 1.245454 1.713539 2.286323
2025-10-26 0.089718 0.263917 0.523401 0.888909 1.356839 1.911271 2.597103
2025-11-02 0.058696 0.226894 0.499146 0.898140 1.421128 2.050330 2.837174
2025-11-09 0.026234 0.170101 0.436255 0.848558 1.405929 2.089492 2.955794
2025-11-16 0.006865 0.120202 0.373170 0.791009 1.374744 2.104759 3.042201
2025-11-23 0.000809 0.092328 0.340254 0.772196 1.391069 2.176250 3.194123
2025-11-30 NaN 0.078334 0.329679 0.784858 1.448382 2.298291 3.406893
2025-12-07 NaN 0.061204 0.308343 0.778425 1.478005 2.384147 3.574515
2025-12-14 NaN 0.042483 0.277003 0.752655 1.478604 2.431361 3.693308
2025-12-21 NaN 0.039548 0.284834 0.793860 1.577411 2.610256 3.981964
2025-12-28 NaN 0.039145 0.299623 0.847561 1.695187 2.815289 4.305165
2026-01-04 NaN 0.036269 0.306525 0.887301 1.792591 2.993469 4.594518
2026-01-11 NaN 0.038066 0.327383 0.951413 1.925384 3.218199 4.942496
2026-01-18 NaN 0.036840 0.338698 0.998808 2.034036 3.411431 5.251194
2026-01-25 NaN 0.029598 0.329023 1.008581 2.087745 3.532449 5.469293
2026-02-01 NaN 0.015501 0.286309 0.955852 2.048107 3.529259 5.530241
2026-02-08 NaN 0.005461 0.241992 0.894521 1.992388 3.502438 5.559466
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001916 0.220728 0.874446 1.996815 3.554540 5.687538
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000900 0.216485 0.887959 2.052324 3.675360 5.903284
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000069 0.203008 0.881094 2.075712 3.752291 6.062583